Citable statement
In ACS 2024, 2,330 people living in Montana reported living in Arizona one year earlier (± 1,157, 90% margin of error).
- Source ·
- U.S. Census Bureau, State-to-State Migration Flows: 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates (Table T13). Official release Jan 21, 2026. Margins of error are 90% MOE.
- Status ·
- Latest available as of Sep 7, 2026. No 2025 state-to-state table is published.
- Limitation ·
- A previous-residence count of people, not household-goods shipments, trucks, or permanent relocations. The distance on this page is state-centroid straight-line, not driving miles. No price, fuel, or toll figure exists in this dataset.
- Cite as ·
- IMMERVEIL, “Arizona to Montana migration, ACS 2024”, https://immerveil.fyi/routes/arizona-to-montana — derived from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2024 1-year Table T13.
What the figure measures
Tabulation of current state of residence crossed by state of residence 1 year ago. This is a 1-year mobility / previous-residence statistic, not a count of household-goods shipments.
Universe: population 1 year and over. Dataset: State-to-State Migration Flows: 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates (Table T13). Official release: Jan 21, 2026. Last checked: Sep 7, 2026. Status: LATEST AVAILABLE. Margins of error in these tables are Census Bureau 90% margins of error.
Corridor table
| Series | Estimate | 90% MOE |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona → Montana | 2,330 | ± 1,157 |
| Montana → Arizona | 4,304 | ± 2,162 |
| Arizona out-of-state movers | 179,766 | ± 9,799 |
| Montana in-from-other-state movers | 36,159 | ± 4,898 |
| U.S. different-state movers | 7,157,607 | ± 75,154 |
Corridor in context · derived from the table
What makes this pair different
- Rank among Arizona outbound
- 22nd of 47
- Rank among Montana inbound
- 4th of 45
- Rank among all state pairs
- 706th of 2,096
- Relative margin of error
- 49.7%
- Net direction at 90%
- Not established
- Geography
- No shared border
1.3% of outbound
6.4% of inbound
Eligible pairs in ACS 2024 T13
90% interval 1,173–3,487
Difference ± 2,452
Long-haul (750–1,500 centroid miles)
Montana is the 22nd largest of 47 outbound destinations recorded for Arizona — 1.3% of the 179,766 people who left Arizona for another state.
Arizona is the 4th largest of 45 inbound origins recorded for Montana — 6.4% of the 36,159 people who arrived in Montana from another state.
Nationally, this is the 706th largest of 2,096 state-to-state flows that carry an estimate, a margin of error, and a reverse estimate in the 2024 table.
The 90% margin of error is 49.7% of the estimate: the Census interval runs from 1,173 to 3,487. Treat any single-year comparison inside that band as noise.
Montana → Arizona exceeds Arizona → Montana by 1,974 (1.85× the other direction), but that difference sits inside its own 90% margin of error (± 2,452). At 90% confidence the table does not establish a net direction for this pair.
Arizona and Montana do not share a land border. 889 state-centroid straight-line miles; IMMERVEIL planning band: Long-haul (750–1,500 centroid miles). Not driving miles.
Derivations: ranks are competition ranks among cells that carry an estimate (ties share a rank); shares divide the pair estimate by the state’s ACS total; the difference test uses √(MOE₁² + MOE₂²) per Census Bureau statistical-testing guidance; the distance band is an IMMERVEIL planning label on centroid miles, not a tariff zone. Corridor context module v1.0.
Distance note
889 miles is the state-centroid straight-line distance between TIGER-derived geographic centroids of Arizona and Montana. It is not driving mileage, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone. Driving or route miles require a city-to-city pair and a licensed routing provider — this page does not invent that figure. State centroids are computed with d3.geoCentroid on TIGER-derived polygons. Distances shown on state-to-state pages are state-centroid straight-line distances. They are not driving miles, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone. Driving distance requires a city pair and a routing provider.
Planning checklist
- Confirm whether the shipment is interstate (subject to federal household-goods rules) or intrastate.
- Look up the mover’s USDOT before paying a deposit. Open Mover Check.
- Read the estimate type. Open Quote Check.
- Storage between pickup and delivery is common on long corridors — treat unit size as a range. Storage calculator.
Check a mover for this corridor
This pair is rendered for utility but is noindex until the ACS estimate, reverse flow, centroid distance, and relative margin of error pass the publication gate. Below index threshold (estimate ≥ 5000 and 90% MOE ≤ 50% of estimate). Page still renders.
Questions this page answers
- How many people moved from Arizona to Montana according to the Census?
- The latest official figure is the ACS 2024 1-year estimate of people living in Montana whose residence one year earlier was Arizona: 2,330 ± 1,157 (90% margin of error). It is a previous-residence statistic, not a count of household-goods shipments, trucks, or permanent relocations.
- Do more people move from Arizona to Montana, or the other way?
- Montana to Arizona is nominally larger (2,330 versus 4,304), but the difference of 1,974 is inside its own 90% margin of error (± 2,452). The table does not establish a net direction for this pair.
- How important is Montana as a destination for people leaving Arizona?
- In ACS 2024, Montana ranks 22nd of 47 recorded destinations for people whose residence one year earlier was Arizona, taking 1.3% of that state's out-of-state movers. Ranks are competition ranks among cells with an estimate; ties share a rank.
- Is the Arizona–Montana mileage on this page a driving distance?
- No. 889 miles is the state-centroid straight-line (great-circle) distance between TIGER-derived geographic centroids. It is not driving miles, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone.
- Is 2024 still the latest official state-to-state migration table?
- Yes. The Census Bureau released 2024 State-to-State Migration Flows on 2026-01-21. No 2025 ACS state-to-state table is published. Calendar year is not the dataset year.
- How should I check a mover for a Arizona to Montana shipment?
- Use the USDOT printed on the written estimate. Look the number up in Mover Check (live FMCSA MCMIS census) and confirm the record on FMCSA SAFER before paying a deposit. IMMERVEIL does not rank, score, or endorse carriers.
- How much does it cost to move from Arizona to Montana?
- IMMERVEIL does not invent a mover price, fuel, or toll bracket. ACS Table T13 and the FMCSA census do not contain those figures. Quote Check performs arithmetic on the amount printed on your estimate — including the 110% collect-on-delivery figure for a qualifying interstate non-binding estimate.