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Latest official migration data

North CarolinaTennessee

People whose current residence was Tennessee and whose residence one year earlier was North Carolina. This is not a count of household-goods moves, trucks, or permanent relocations.

State hubs: North Carolina · Tennessee · Reverse corridor: TennesseeNorth Carolina

11,741

Estimate ± 3,542 (90% margin of error)

Route intelligence · official fields

ACS 2024 · NC→TN
11,741 ± 3,542

Previous-residence, 90% MOE

Reverse flow
8,763 ± 3,119

Not a return-trip count

North Carolina outbound
241,195

All other states, ACS 2024

Tennessee inbound
192,215

From all other states, ACS 2024

Net previous-residence
+2,978 toward Tennessee

Estimate minus reverse. Not net trucks.

Centroid straight-line
393 mi

Not driving miles

State hubs: North Carolina · Tennessee. Market price, fuel, and tolls: NOT IN THIS DATASET.

0.16%

Numerator
ACS 2024 1-year estimate of people whose current residence is Tennessee and whose residence 1 year earlier was North Carolina: 11,741.

Denominator
ACS 2024 1-year U.S. total of people living in a different U.S. state than 1 year earlier (population 1 year and over): 7,157,607.

Formula
(11,741 ÷ 7,157,607) × 100. Dataset year 2024. Source: Census Bureau State-to-State Migration Flows, ACS 1-year T13. This is not a share of household-goods shipments.

North Carolina to Tennessee mapUnited States outline with state boundaries derived from Census TIGER/Line. Interactive facts are also listed as text beside this figure.

Citable statement

In ACS 2024, 11,741 people living in Tennessee reported living in North Carolina one year earlier (± 3,542, 90% margin of error).

Source ·
U.S. Census Bureau, State-to-State Migration Flows: 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates (Table T13). Official release Jan 21, 2026. Margins of error are 90% MOE.
Status ·
Latest available as of Sep 7, 2026. No 2025 state-to-state table is published.
Limitation ·
A previous-residence count of people, not household-goods shipments, trucks, or permanent relocations. The distance on this page is state-centroid straight-line, not driving miles. No price, fuel, or toll figure exists in this dataset.
Cite as ·
IMMERVEIL, “North Carolina to Tennessee migration, ACS 2024”, https://immerveil.fyi/routes/north-carolina-to-tennessee — derived from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2024 1-year Table T13.

What the figure measures

Tabulation of current state of residence crossed by state of residence 1 year ago. This is a 1-year mobility / previous-residence statistic, not a count of household-goods shipments.

Universe: population 1 year and over. Dataset: State-to-State Migration Flows: 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates (Table T13). Official release: Jan 21, 2026. Last checked: Sep 7, 2026. Status: LATEST AVAILABLE. Margins of error in these tables are Census Bureau 90% margins of error.

Corridor table

ACS 2024 estimates and margins of error for North Carolina and Tennessee
SeriesEstimate90% MOE
North Carolina → Tennessee11,741± 3,542
Tennessee → North Carolina8,763± 3,119
North Carolina out-of-state movers241,195± 15,896
Tennessee in-from-other-state movers192,215± 11,673
U.S. different-state movers7,157,607± 75,154

Corridor in context · derived from the table

What makes this pair different

Rank among North Carolina outbound
6th of 49

4.9% of outbound

Rank among Tennessee inbound
4th of 46

6.1% of inbound

Rank among all state pairs
138th of 2,096

Eligible pairs in ACS 2024 T13

Relative margin of error
30.2%

90% interval 8,199–15,283

Net direction at 90%
Not established

Difference ± 4,720

Geography
Shared land border

Regional (250–750 centroid miles)

Tennessee is the 6th largest of 49 outbound destinations recorded for North Carolina — 4.9% of the 241,195 people who left North Carolina for another state.

North Carolina is the 4th largest of 46 inbound origins recorded for Tennessee — 6.1% of the 192,215 people who arrived in Tennessee from another state.

Nationally, this is the 138th largest of 2,096 state-to-state flows that carry an estimate, a margin of error, and a reverse estimate in the 2024 table.

The 90% margin of error is 30.2% of the estimate: the Census interval runs from 8,199 to 15,283. Treat any single-year comparison inside that band as noise.

North Carolina → Tennessee exceeds Tennessee → North Carolina by 2,978 (1.34× the other direction), but that difference sits inside its own 90% margin of error (± 4,720). At 90% confidence the table does not establish a net direction for this pair. Open the reverse corridor.

North Carolina and Tennessee share a land border. 393 state-centroid straight-line miles; IMMERVEIL planning band: Regional (250–750 centroid miles). Not driving miles.

Derivations: ranks are competition ranks among cells that carry an estimate (ties share a rank); shares divide the pair estimate by the state’s ACS total; the difference test uses √(MOE₁² + MOE₂²) per Census Bureau statistical-testing guidance; the distance band is an IMMERVEIL planning label on centroid miles, not a tariff zone. Corridor context module v1.0.

Distance note

393 miles is the state-centroid straight-line distance between TIGER-derived geographic centroids of North Carolina and Tennessee. It is not driving mileage, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone. Driving or route miles require a city-to-city pair and a licensed routing provider — this page does not invent that figure. State centroids are computed with d3.geoCentroid on TIGER-derived polygons. Distances shown on state-to-state pages are state-centroid straight-line distances. They are not driving miles, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone. Driving distance requires a city pair and a routing provider.

Planning checklist

  • Confirm whether the shipment is interstate (subject to federal household-goods rules) or intrastate.
  • Look up the mover’s USDOT before paying a deposit. Open Mover Check.
  • Read the estimate type. Open Quote Check.
  • Storage between pickup and delivery is common on long corridors — treat unit size as a range. Storage calculator.

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Questions this page answers

How many people moved from North Carolina to Tennessee according to the Census?
The latest official figure is the ACS 2024 1-year estimate of people living in Tennessee whose residence one year earlier was North Carolina: 11,741 ± 3,542 (90% margin of error). It is a previous-residence statistic, not a count of household-goods shipments, trucks, or permanent relocations.
Do more people move from North Carolina to Tennessee, or the other way?
North Carolina to Tennessee is nominally larger (11,741 versus 8,763), but the difference of 2,978 is inside its own 90% margin of error (± 4,720). The table does not establish a net direction for this pair.
How important is Tennessee as a destination for people leaving North Carolina?
In ACS 2024, Tennessee ranks 6th of 49 recorded destinations for people whose residence one year earlier was North Carolina, taking 4.9% of that state's out-of-state movers. Ranks are competition ranks among cells with an estimate; ties share a rank.
Is the North Carolina–Tennessee mileage on this page a driving distance?
No. 393 miles is the state-centroid straight-line (great-circle) distance between TIGER-derived geographic centroids. It is not driving miles, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone.
Is 2024 still the latest official state-to-state migration table?
Yes. The Census Bureau released 2024 State-to-State Migration Flows on 2026-01-21. No 2025 ACS state-to-state table is published. Calendar year is not the dataset year.
How should I check a mover for a North Carolina to Tennessee shipment?
Use the USDOT printed on the written estimate. Look the number up in Mover Check (live FMCSA MCMIS census) and confirm the record on FMCSA SAFER before paying a deposit. IMMERVEIL does not rank, score, or endorse carriers.
How much does it cost to move from North Carolina to Tennessee?
IMMERVEIL does not invent a mover price, fuel, or toll bracket. ACS Table T13 and the FMCSA census do not contain those figures. Quote Check performs arithmetic on the amount printed on your estimate — including the 110% collect-on-delivery figure for a qualifying interstate non-binding estimate.

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