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Latest official migration data

TennesseeArkansas

People whose current residence was Arkansas and whose residence one year earlier was Tennessee. This is not a count of household-goods moves, trucks, or permanent relocations.

State hubs: Tennessee · Arkansas

2,579

Estimate ± 1,147 (90% margin of error)

Route intelligence · official fields

ACS 2024 · TN→AR
2,579 ± 1,147

Previous-residence, 90% MOE

Reverse flow
3,503 ± 1,498

Not a return-trip count

Tennessee outbound
156,435

All other states, ACS 2024

Arkansas inbound
62,908

From all other states, ACS 2024

Net previous-residence
-924 (reverse larger)

Estimate minus reverse. Not net trucks.

Centroid straight-line
350 mi

Not driving miles

State hubs: Tennessee · Arkansas. Market price, fuel, and tolls: NOT IN THIS DATASET.

0.04%

Numerator
ACS 2024 1-year estimate of people whose current residence is Arkansas and whose residence 1 year earlier was Tennessee: 2,579.

Denominator
ACS 2024 1-year U.S. total of people living in a different U.S. state than 1 year earlier (population 1 year and over): 7,157,607.

Formula
(2,579 ÷ 7,157,607) × 100. Dataset year 2024. Source: Census Bureau State-to-State Migration Flows, ACS 1-year T13. This is not a share of household-goods shipments.

Tennessee to Arkansas mapUnited States outline with state boundaries derived from Census TIGER/Line. Interactive facts are also listed as text beside this figure.

Citable statement

In ACS 2024, 2,579 people living in Arkansas reported living in Tennessee one year earlier (± 1,147, 90% margin of error).

Source ·
U.S. Census Bureau, State-to-State Migration Flows: 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates (Table T13). Official release Jan 21, 2026. Margins of error are 90% MOE.
Status ·
Latest available as of Sep 7, 2026. No 2025 state-to-state table is published.
Limitation ·
A previous-residence count of people, not household-goods shipments, trucks, or permanent relocations. The distance on this page is state-centroid straight-line, not driving miles. No price, fuel, or toll figure exists in this dataset.
Cite as ·
IMMERVEIL, “Tennessee to Arkansas migration, ACS 2024”, https://immerveil.fyi/routes/tennessee-to-arkansas — derived from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2024 1-year Table T13.

What the figure measures

Tabulation of current state of residence crossed by state of residence 1 year ago. This is a 1-year mobility / previous-residence statistic, not a count of household-goods shipments.

Universe: population 1 year and over. Dataset: State-to-State Migration Flows: 2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates (Table T13). Official release: Jan 21, 2026. Last checked: Sep 7, 2026. Status: LATEST AVAILABLE. Margins of error in these tables are Census Bureau 90% margins of error.

Corridor table

ACS 2024 estimates and margins of error for Tennessee and Arkansas
SeriesEstimate90% MOE
Tennessee → Arkansas2,579± 1,147
Arkansas → Tennessee3,503± 1,498
Tennessee out-of-state movers156,435± 13,458
Arkansas in-from-other-state movers62,908± 6,197
U.S. different-state movers7,157,607± 75,154

Corridor in context · derived from the table

What makes this pair different

Rank among Tennessee outbound
18th of 50

1.6% of outbound

Rank among Arkansas inbound
7th of 46

4.1% of inbound

Rank among all state pairs
647th of 2,096

Eligible pairs in ACS 2024 T13

Relative margin of error
44.5%

90% interval 1,432–3,726

Net direction at 90%
Not established

Difference ± 1,887

Geography
Shared land border

Regional (250–750 centroid miles)

Arkansas is the 18th largest of 50 outbound destinations recorded for Tennessee — 1.6% of the 156,435 people who left Tennessee for another state.

Tennessee is the 7th largest of 46 inbound origins recorded for Arkansas — 4.1% of the 62,908 people who arrived in Arkansas from another state.

Nationally, this is the 647th largest of 2,096 state-to-state flows that carry an estimate, a margin of error, and a reverse estimate in the 2024 table.

The 90% margin of error is 44.5% of the estimate: the Census interval runs from 1,432 to 3,726. Treat any single-year comparison inside that band as noise.

Arkansas → Tennessee exceeds Tennessee → Arkansas by 924 (1.36× the other direction), but that difference sits inside its own 90% margin of error (± 1,887). At 90% confidence the table does not establish a net direction for this pair.

Tennessee and Arkansas share a land border. 350 state-centroid straight-line miles; IMMERVEIL planning band: Regional (250–750 centroid miles). Not driving miles.

Derivations: ranks are competition ranks among cells that carry an estimate (ties share a rank); shares divide the pair estimate by the state’s ACS total; the difference test uses √(MOE₁² + MOE₂²) per Census Bureau statistical-testing guidance; the distance band is an IMMERVEIL planning label on centroid miles, not a tariff zone. Corridor context module v1.0.

Distance note

350 miles is the state-centroid straight-line distance between TIGER-derived geographic centroids of Tennessee and Arkansas. It is not driving mileage, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone. Driving or route miles require a city-to-city pair and a licensed routing provider — this page does not invent that figure. State centroids are computed with d3.geoCentroid on TIGER-derived polygons. Distances shown on state-to-state pages are state-centroid straight-line distances. They are not driving miles, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone. Driving distance requires a city pair and a routing provider.

Planning checklist

  • Confirm whether the shipment is interstate (subject to federal household-goods rules) or intrastate.
  • Look up the mover’s USDOT before paying a deposit. Open Mover Check.
  • Read the estimate type. Open Quote Check.
  • Storage between pickup and delivery is common on long corridors — treat unit size as a range. Storage calculator.

Check a mover for this corridor

This pair is rendered for utility but is noindex until the ACS estimate, reverse flow, centroid distance, and relative margin of error pass the publication gate. Below index threshold (estimate ≥ 5000 and 90% MOE ≤ 50% of estimate). Page still renders.

Analyze an estimate on this corridor

JavaScript is not required. ZIP is a fact on your estimate, not a Census geography. This does not sell your information. It opens Quote Check on the states you entered.

Questions this page answers

How many people moved from Tennessee to Arkansas according to the Census?
The latest official figure is the ACS 2024 1-year estimate of people living in Arkansas whose residence one year earlier was Tennessee: 2,579 ± 1,147 (90% margin of error). It is a previous-residence statistic, not a count of household-goods shipments, trucks, or permanent relocations.
Do more people move from Tennessee to Arkansas, or the other way?
Arkansas to Tennessee is nominally larger (2,579 versus 3,503), but the difference of 924 is inside its own 90% margin of error (± 1,887). The table does not establish a net direction for this pair.
How important is Arkansas as a destination for people leaving Tennessee?
In ACS 2024, Arkansas ranks 18th of 50 recorded destinations for people whose residence one year earlier was Tennessee, taking 1.6% of that state's out-of-state movers. Ranks are competition ranks among cells with an estimate; ties share a rank.
Is the Tennessee–Arkansas mileage on this page a driving distance?
No. 350 miles is the state-centroid straight-line (great-circle) distance between TIGER-derived geographic centroids. It is not driving miles, not a highway recommendation, and not a shipping zone.
Is 2024 still the latest official state-to-state migration table?
Yes. The Census Bureau released 2024 State-to-State Migration Flows on 2026-01-21. No 2025 ACS state-to-state table is published. Calendar year is not the dataset year.
How should I check a mover for a Tennessee to Arkansas shipment?
Use the USDOT printed on the written estimate. Look the number up in Mover Check (live FMCSA MCMIS census) and confirm the record on FMCSA SAFER before paying a deposit. IMMERVEIL does not rank, score, or endorse carriers.
How much does it cost to move from Tennessee to Arkansas?
IMMERVEIL does not invent a mover price, fuel, or toll bracket. ACS Table T13 and the FMCSA census do not contain those figures. Quote Check performs arithmetic on the amount printed on your estimate — including the 110% collect-on-delivery figure for a qualifying interstate non-binding estimate.

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